Sunday, 5 May 2013

Zoo baboons shed light on the brain's ability to understand numbers

Opposing thumbs, expressive faces, complex social systems: it's hard to miss the similarities between apes and humans. Now a new study with a troop of zoo baboons and lots of peanuts shows that a less obvious trait-the ability to understand numbers-also is shared by man and his primate cousins.
"The human capacity for complex symbolic math is clearly unique to our species," says co-author Jessica Cantlon, assistant professor of brain and cognitive sciences at the University of Rochester. "But where did this numeric prowess come from? In this study we've shown that non-human primates also possess basic quantitative abilities. In fact, non-human primates can be as accurate at discriminating between different quantities as a human child."
"This tells us that non-human primates have in common with humans a fundamental ability to make approximate quantity judgments," says Cantlon. "Humans build on this talent by learning number words and developing a linguistic system of numbers, but in the absence of language and counting, complex math abilities do still exist."
Cantlon, her research assistant Allison Barnard, postdoctoral fellow Kelly Hughes, and other colleagues at the University of Rochester and the Seneca Park Zoo in Rochester, N.Y., reported their findings online May 2 in the open-access journal Frontiers in Psychology. The study tracked eight olive baboons, ages 4 to 14, in 54 separate trials of guess-which-cup-has-the-most-treats. Researchers placed one to eight peanuts into each of two cups, varying the numbers in each container. The baboons received all the peanuts in the cup they chose, whether it was the cup with the most goodies or not. The baboons guessed the larger quantity roughly 75 percent of the time on easy pairs when the relative difference between the quantities was large, for example two versus seven. But when the ratios were more difficult to discriminate, say six versus seven, their accuracy fell to 55 percent.
That pattern, argue the authors, helps to resolve a standing question about how animals understand quantity. Scientists have speculated that animals may use two different systems for evaluating numbers: one based on keeping track of discrete objects-a skill known to be limited to about three items at a time-and a second approach based on comparing the approximate differences between counts.
The baboons' choices, conclude the authors, clearly relied on this latter "more than" or "less than" cognitive approach, known as the analog system. The baboons were able to consistently discriminate pairs with numbers larger than three as long as the relative difference between the peanuts in each cup was large. Research has shown that children who have not yet learned to count also depend on such comparisons to discriminate between number groups, as do human adults when they are required to quickly estimate quantity.
Studies with other animals, including birds, lemurs, chimpanzees, and even fish, have also revealed a similar ability to estimate relative quantity, but scientists have been wary of the findings because much of this research is limited to animals trained extensively in experimental procedures. The concern is that the results could reflect more about the experimenters than about the innate ability of the animals.
"We want to make sure we are not creating a 'Clever Hans effect,'" cautions Cantlon, referring to the horse whose alleged aptitude for math was shown to rest instead on the ability to read the unintentional body language of his human trainer. To rule out such influence, the study relied on zoo baboons with no prior exposure to experimental procedures. Additionally, a control condition tested for human bias by using two experimenters-each blind to the contents of the other cup-and found that the choice patterns remained unchanged.
A final experiment tested two baboons over 130 more trials. The monkeys showed little improvement in their choice rate, indicating that learning did not play a significant role in understanding quantity.
 

"What's surprising is that without any prior training, these animals have the ability to solve numerical problems," says Cantlon. The results indicate that baboons not only use comparisons to understand numbers, but that these abilities occur naturally and in the wild, the authors conclude.
Finding a functioning baboon troop for cognitive research was serendipitous, explains study co-author Jenna Bovee, the elephant handler at the Seneca Park Zoo who is also the primary keeper for the baboons. The African monkeys are hierarchical, with an alpha male at the top of the social ladder and lots of jockeying for status among the other members of the group. Many zoos have to separate baboons that don't get along, leaving only a handful of zoos with functioning troops, Bovee explained.
Involvement in this study and ongoing research has been enriching for the 12-member troop, she said, noting that several baboons participate in research tasks about three days a week. "They enjoy it," she says. "We never have to force them to participate. If they don't want to do it that day, no big deal.
"It stimulates our animals in a new way that we hadn't thought of before," Bovee adds. "It kind of breaks up their routine during the day, gets them thinking. It gives them time by themselves to get the attention focused on them for once. And it reduces fighting among the troop. So it's good for everybody."
The zoo has actually adapted some of the research techniques, like a matching game with a touch-screen computer that dispenses treats, and taken it to the orangutans. "They're using an iPad," she says.
She also enjoys documenting the intelligence of her charges. "A lot of people don't realize how smart these animals are. Baboons can show you that five is more than two. That's as accurate as a typical three year old, so you have to give them that credit."
Cantlon extends those insights to young children: "In the same way that we underestimate the cognitive abilities of non-human animals, we sometimes underestimate the cognitive abilities of preverbal children. There are quantitative abilities that exist in children prior to formal schooling or even being able to use language."

Mathematics teaching reduced to 'Does' & 'Don'ts'

Mathematics teaching has been reduced to "does" and "don't" without letting the students to grasp a fuller understanding of the concepts, said Huidrom Jayantkumar Singh, former head of department of Mathematics, D.M.College of Science and President, Manipur Mathematical Society.

Delivering his keynote address at a day-long workshop/seminar on Mathematics and Science Communication for media persons held at Manipur Press Club here today, Jayantakumar bemoaned that the faulty approach to teaching Mathematics by focussing on problem-solving was responsible for Maths-phobia suffered by students.

This is one subject in which maximum students fail in the examinations.

It is the most unpopular, rather most feared subject among students, he added.

This media workshop was a part of the series being organized across the country by Vigyan Prasar, an autonomous body of the Ministry of Science & Technology and the National Council for Science & Technology Communication (NCSTC), Department of Science & Technology, Government of India in connection with the National Mathematics Year (2012-13) being observed to mark the 125th birth anniversary of great mathematician Srinivasa Ramanujan.

Jayantkumar went on to explain that Mathematics teaching should pass through three stages.

'Whats,' that is, definitions, interrelation between principles, etc.

'How' is the method of solving a problem or proving a proposition.

"Why" is the interpretation and generalisations.

Although the last stage does not provide solution to the problem, it is of basic importance because it tells us why a particular method of solving the problem had been adopted.

But teachers generally concentrate on the 'how' part and give little importance to the 'what' and 'why'.

As a consequence, students are forced to cramp up and learn by rote - just like mugging up English spellings and pronunciation.

Hence, young learners develop a distaste for Mathematics, he observed, adding that like taking scientific knowledge from textbooks and laboratories to the common people in the field, familiarisation with the principles of Mathematics can be made lively by relating them to our day-to-day activities.

In his introductory remarks of the workshop, Dr.Subodh Mahanti, senior scientist, Vigyan Prasar, said that the idea behind these workshop/seminars was to highlight the importance of Mathematics in understanding the secrets of nature and solving practical problems, and to make people aware of India's mathematical heritage.

Mathematics is used as a universal language and tool for any quantitative research in all the sciences.

Fundamental Mathematical questions also arise out of these research topics.

And so we see the emergence of disciplines like mathematical biology, mathematical ecology, mathematical geography, mathematical physics, etc.

Dr Mahanti pointed out that the origins of Mathematics can be traced to antiquity.

Prehistoric human beings probably learned to count at least up to ten on their fingers.

Ancient Indians, Chinese, Babylonians, and Egyptians devised methods of counting and measuring that were of practical importance in their everyday lives.

With the passage of time surveyors, clock and calendar makers, masons and machine makers, and most importantly merchants, developed the methods of counting and measuring.

"We have a rich mathematical heritage.

One of India's greatest contributions to Mathematics is the number 'zero' and the decimal system, which established the modern way of writing numbers," he added.

Dr Mohanti said that during 2013 a number of activities are proposed to be undertaken under a wide umbrella of initiatives called the International Year of Mathematics of the Planet Earth (MPE-2013).The idea behind MPE-2013 is to focus on mathematical research in areas of relevance to the various processes that affect the Earth.

Nimish Kapoor, another scientist with Vigyan Prasar who was also present on the occasion as a resource person, said that besides producing films and radio programmes, publishing books on popular science topics, Vigyan Prasar has been involved in different popularisation activities.

It has set up a network of science clubs across the country and was involved in science and mathematics popularization among school students and the common people.

Speaking about science and mathematics writing, Nimish felt that science writers and journalist should use simple language and avoid jargons when writing for lay audiences.

Others who spoke included Dr Surendranath Singh, Director of Manipur Science & Technology Council (MASTEC), Prof Roop Chandra Singh, head of department of biochemistry, Manipur University and well-known science writer and former principle of DM College of Science G Toba Sharma.

George Washington University biologist discovers new dinosaur in China

WASHINGTON – Fossil remains found by a George Washington University biologist in northwestern China have been identified as a new species of small theropod, or meat-eating, dinosaur.
The discovery was made by James Clark, the Ronald B. Weintraub Professor of Biology, in the Department of Biological Sciences of GW's Columbian College of Arts and Sciences. Dr. Clark, along with his then doctoral student Jonah Choiniere and a team of international researchers, found the dinosaur specimen in a remote region of Xinjiang in China in 2006.
In a research paper published in the Journal of Systematic Palaeontology, Drs. Clark and Choiniere explain recovering the skull, mandible and partial skeleton of the dinosaur. The new theropod was an estimated 1 meter or just over 3 feet long and probably weighed about 3 pounds.
"All that was exposed on the surface was a bit of the leg," said Dr. Clark. "We were pleasantly surprised to find a skull buried in the rock too."
The dinosaur is named Aorun zhaoi, after the Dragon King in the Chinese epic tale Journey to the West. It wasn't necessarily a small dinosaur species, though, because Aorun was still a youngster when it became a fossil.
This shows fossil remains found by a George Washington University biologist in northwestern China have been identified as a new species of small theropod, or meat-eating, dinosaur.
The discovery was made by James Clark, Professor of Biology,at GW's Columbian College of Arts and Sciences. Dr. Clark, along with his then doctoral student Jonah Choiniere and a team of international researchers, found the dinosaur specimen in a remote region of Xinjiang in China in 2006.
In a research paper published in the Journal of Systematic Palaeontology, Drs. Clark and Choiniere explain recovering the skull, mandible and partial skeleton of the dinosaur. The new theropod was an estimated 1 meter or just over 3 feet long and probably weighed about 3 pounds.
(Photo Credit: James Clark, George Washington University)
"We were able to look at microscopic details of Aorun's bones and they showed that the animal was less than a year old when it died on the banks of a stream," said Dr. Choiniere.
Dr. Choiniere, now a senior researcher at the Evolutionary Studies Institute at the University of the Witwatersrand in Johannesburg, South Africa, was a doctoral student in Biological Studies at GW when the discovery was made. He was also a Kalbfleisch Fellow and Gerstner Scholar at the American Museum of Natural History.
Aorun lived more than 161 million years ago, in the earliest part of the Late Jurassic Period. Its small, numerous teeth suggest that it would have eaten prey like lizards and small relatives of today's mammals and crocodilians.
This is the fifth new theropod discovered at the Wucaiwan locality by the team, co-led by Dr. Clark and Dr. Xu Xing of the Chinese Academy of Sciences.

What the race to reach Mars tomorrow says about Earth today



The country with the most number of applicants is US with 100; 5 Indians and 12 Chinese have also volunteered to take the trip.
The country with the most number of applicants is US with 100; 5 Indians and 12 Chinese have also volunteered to take the trip. 


Bas Lansdorp is looking for a few good Martians. The 35-year-old Dutch entrepreneur is taking applications today to be part of the four-person crew he intends to send to Mars in 2023. In press conferences and other appearances, Lansdorp says that the technology to get to the Red Planet already exists. The tricky part is coming back. And so Lansdorp has proposed a radical solution: don't come back. It's difficult to tell how seriously we should take Lansdorp's plan to build a permanent colony on the Red Planet, beginning with four pioneers in 2023 and joined by four more every two years after that.

In his press appearances, Lansdorp seems serious, if a bit high strung, and he does have a number of scientists on his advisory board. However, the logistics of getting people from here to a planet 140 million km or so away are probably a little more complicated than building a very slick social media campaign: 50% of all the Mars probes ever sent have failed for one reason or another, according to one Wikipedia tally. But whatever the Mars One expedition may or may not mean for Mars tomorrow, the enthusiasm Lansdorp has tapped does say some interesting things about life on Earth today:

78,000 people have put down money for a chance to leave the planet forever.

Since Mars One began accepting applications on April 22, 78,000 people have volunteered to go to a world where they would never again go outside, feel wind that wasn't generated by an air conditioner, or sit under a tree. They have even paid money for the chance — between $5 and $73, depending on their country, according to a website. The organisers say they have been surprised at the strength of the demand. "The response has been overwhelming and easily overshoots our initial expectations," says Aashima Dogra, editorial manager of Mars One. Assuming that only hard core science fiction junkies have heard about the expedition and these 78,000 are just the early adopters, it becomes easy to imagine that they may end up being just a fraction of the number of people who will eventually sign up before the application deadline closes in August.

Many of the candidates don't really live here anyway.

As part of the application, candidates must submit a short video, some of which are posted on the Mars One site. I've looked at some of these videos, and they're an interesting mix. Most of the candidates are young and seem deeply bored with their current lives. They're people like Denise, a serious 29-year-old German army veteran who emigrated to Australia in 2007, probably not with the intention of ending up as the deputy manager of a supermarket. The group has a higher number of engineers than in an ordinary sample, probably because a serious interest in science fiction seems like kind of a prerequisite to apply, but otherwise, few applicants seem to have any special skills. Ilya, a 24-year-old Russian who says the expedition should hire him in part because "I'm a really great cook." Mubashshir, an Indian, says he should be chosen, "because I am extraordinarily kind". Others are more like Noman, a 20-year-old Indian now living in South Africa, who says "I always had a feeling inside me that I was born on this planet for a special reason."

Most of the applicants are Americans.

Just judging from the number of video applications posted on the website, the country with the most applicants seems to be the United States: five Indian videos have been posted, 12 Chinese, and maybe 100 Americans. The preponderance of Americans is perhaps no surprise, and not just because Americans tend to find it easier to embrace the new, new thing. Given that Americans work longer hours than anybody in the industrial world and several surveys say they spend an average of 94% of their day inside a building or inside a vehicle, the idea of giving up the cubicle may not be all that frightening — particularly when you consider the high level of job security that would go along with being a Martian colonist.

The future has been privatised.

John F. Kennedy once inspired a nation to go to the moon. Today, it's people like Lansdorp, and they're trying to inspire the whole world. Entrepreneurs Richard Branson of Virgin Airways and Elon Musk of SpaceX have their own space travel businesses under development, and former space tourist Dennis Tito, another tycoon, is trying to raise money for a 2018 fly-by expedition.

The future is multinational — sort of.

Although the Mars One team is accepting applications from all over the world, the fine print stipulates you have to speak fairly good English. Like Star Trek, ethnicity is a good thing, but within certain limits.

It's about the show.

The English is important, and not just because there aren't that many astronauts who can say, "Rotterdam, we have a problem", in Dutch. The hundreds of videos on the Mars One site aren't beside the point; they are the point. Beyond the one-way trip, Landsdorp's second insight has been to realise that a Mars expedition would not just be one giant step for mankind, but a giant step for reality TV. The ultimate organiser of this venture is a nonprofit called the Mars One Foundation, but it's the controlling shareholder in a Dutch company handling the expedition, the Interplanetary Media Group.

Lansdorp is betting that he can finance what he estimates will be a $6-billion expedition as the ultimate reality TV series. In a world where the TV rights for the Olympics can sell for several billion, why couldn't you sell a Mars landing to the same distributors? 'It sounds like a lot of money. And actually it is a lot of money. But imagine what will happen when the first people land on Mars. Literally everybody on the globe will want to see it," Lansdorp has said. Ultimately, for Lansdorp, the crucial question is less, who can I find who will give me $6 billion to go to Mars, than, who would pay a buck to see it? As the comedienne Mae West said, "If I can't find a man with a million dollars, I'll find a million men with one dollar."

Couch potatoes turn patrons.

Beyond sales of broadcast rights and memorabilia — the Mars expedition may not have its space suits worked out yet, but you can buy state-of-the-art hoodies, t-shirts, and coffee mugs — the group is also accepting donations. As of April 29, they had raised $37,000 from the US and $7,000 from the UK, which, after all, are the world's biggest exporters of science fiction. (Indians seem a bit more sceptical — $159 — but not so much as the Dominican Republic: Dominicans have contributed a grand total of $1, thus far.) That isn't much of a down payment on $6 billion, but the Donate button is also a sign of the times.

Patrons have been part of art and science for thousands of years, but the internet is making it easier for people to raise money for all kinds of schemes, through websites such as kickstarter.com, where since 2009, 4 million people have pledged $596 million for 44,000 creative projects, such as sending an artist to the North Pole or helping a band finish an album. Start-ups are cashing in on the "crowd funding" trend too. Lansdorp's former company, Ampyx Power, a Dutch wind power company that is developing a system that will use tethered gliders that generate electricity by catching faster and more reliable high-altitude wind currents, has also set up ways for small investors to make tiny investments in their venture.

Being a space colonist looks suspiciously like sitting at home in front of the TV.

Being a space dude used to involve blasting lasers, wrestling with aliens, and flirting with ladies painted an alarming shade of green. Now, off-planet possibilities look considerably less exciting. In Mars One mock-ups, a robot crew will have a lot of things set up before the settlers get there, including the atmosphere, the greenhouse, and the living quarters. The Mars One website features pictures of couches and big picture windows looking out on a red desert, looking like a sort of high-tech dude ranch. This should worry the Mars One impresarios, particularly if the colonists get along all right. How do you keep the TV drama going, particularly if couples and children are discouraged in the colony's early years? As one person in the media launch asked, "What the f**k are you going to do on Mars for the rest of your life?"

One answer might be, not much. For one thing, human beings don't seem to do very well in lowgravity environments. Jerry Linger, a Nasa astronaut who spent four months in Russia's Mir space station in 1997, told Canada's National Post that the astronauts tend to have a hard time sleeping in the space station. "It's kind of like you're wiped out after New Year's Eve, kind of like a hangover or something," he said. For another, living in close quarters tends not to bring out the best in people. In a 2011 simulation project, a six-man multinational crew lived 520 days in a simulated space capsule in Moscow to test the psycho-social effects of a Martian voyage. According to some reports, the crew experienced a number of periods where they had become increasingly withdrawn and lethargic, and there are some funny pictures of the intrepid crew zonked out in front of a TV. French "simul-naut" Romain Charles, on exit, advised astronauts attempting future voyages to always stay busy, "and don't forget your e-reader."

They're looking at the wrong end of the telescope.

Start-ups are notorious for not seeing the real value of their innovation, and Mars One may be no exception. As the futurist Buckminster Fuller used to note, we're already in space. Our six billion neighbours already constitute an incredible reality TV programme, one that includes some nice scenery and plenty of drama. What we've lacked for the past 150 years or so however is a civilised way to vote people off the island. In the past, Europe might send a Napoleon to a distant island and Great Britain might pack its convicts off to Australia, but in today's global village, the non-violent disposal of the unpopular tends to be difficult.

That's where Mars One could come in, by helping improve our own reality show right here. Rather than find people who want to go, they should look for people the world would like to send. There are precedents, even before Elba: the ancient Athenians had just such a reverse-popularity contest every year. Each citizen would take a piece of a pot and write on it the name of someone he would like to see banished. Anyone who collected 6,000 nominations was sent away for 10 years. These banished people were not convicted for a crime so they could make no defence — they were just told essentially that the people had decided it would be better if they went away.

Sometimes, there were political reasons for what they called an ostracism. Other times, they just seem to have gotten tired of particular individuals. One anecdote has it that Aristides the Just, an Athenian who was sent away, recalled helping an illiterate man who did not know him write Aristides on his pot shard, and when he asked what he had against Aristides, the man said he was just tired of hearing this guy Aristides called "the just". Who would not be missed? Silvio Berlusconi or Kim Jong-un of North Korea could go. Eighty percent of the French are ready to send Francois Hollande. Non-political celebrities too might make the grade: Justin Bieber, for instance, and then there's that British boy band, the conveniently branded group One Direction. The real challenge would be limiting the number of candidates to four.

Quest for dark matter starts in form of tiny bubbles at Fermilab

Quest for dark matter starts in form of tiny bubbles at Fermilab










Washington: A group of physicists from Northwestern University have launched an unusual new experiment in an attempt to be the first to directly confirm the existence of dark matter.

Scientists this week heard their first pops in an experiment that searches for signs of dark matter in the form of tiny bubbles.

The experiment's one-of-a-kind detector is located in a laboratory a mile and a half underground in Sudbury, Ontario.

The physicists will need to analyze the data to discern whether dark matter caused any of the COUPP-60 experiment's first bubbles. COUPP stands for the Chicagoland Observatory for Underground Particle Physics.

The experiment, which includes 23 physicists, is being led by the University of Chicago, Northwestern and the US Department of Energy's Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory. Fermilab managed the assembly and installation of the dark-matter detector.

"For every gram of light matter, or atoms, in the universe, there are 5.5 grams of dark matter," Eric Dahl, an assistant professor of physics and astronomy in the Weinberg College of Arts and Sciences.

"It is still unknown what this dark matter is actually made of, but whatever it is, it's something new. Physicists already have ruled out every known particle.

"If we do find dark matter, not only will we answer one of the biggest mysteries in cosmology and astrophysics, we'll be seeing into a new world of particle physics as well," he said. "The potential payoff is huge."

Gravitational evidence for the existence of dark matter abounds. As early as 1933 astrophysicists found that the observed motions of galaxies require much more gravitational matter than can be accounted for by the matter we can see (in the form of stars and gas).

Since then, a series of astrophysical and cosmological measurements, from observations of light bending around distant galaxy clusters to studies of the microwave background radiation left over from the big bang, all confirm that most of the matter in the universe is dark.

Mars rover back to work after break

An undated file image released by NASA shows a self-portrait of NASA’s Mars rover Curiosity.
AP An undated file image released by NASA shows a self-portrait of NASA’s Mars rover Curiosity.

Curiosity had been on its own since early April, when Mars slipped behind the Sun from Earth’s perspective.

NASA’s Curiosity rover is back in business after a weeks-long communication gap caused by solar interference.
The rover had been on its own since early April, when Mars slipped behind the sun from Earth’s perspective.
Sun can disrupt communications between the two planets in this alignment, which is known as a Mars solar conjunction, so Curiosity’s handlers at Mission Control had temporarily stopped sending commands to the one-ton rover.
However, the heavens have shifted, bringing Mars and Earth back in touch and the Curiosity rover back within reach of its masters, SPACE.com reported.
“Can you hear me now? Conjunction is over. I have a clear view of Earth & am back to work!” NASA officials wrote on behalf of the rover via the Curiosity Twitter feed.
Curiosity landed inside the red planet’s huge Gale Crater in August last year, kicking off a two-year surface mission to determine if Mars has ever been capable of supporting microbial life.
The rover has already checked off its main mission goal.
Before conjunction, Curiosity collected samples from a hole it drilled 6.4 centimetres into a rocky outcrop called John Klein.
The rover’s analysis of these samples allowed mission scientists to determine that Mars was indeed habitable billions of years ago.
Curiosity’s post-conjunction plan involves drilling another hole nearby, to confirm and extend scientists’ understanding of the John Klein area, mission officials have said.
When that work is done, Curiosity will likely begin the 10 kilometres trek to the base of Mount Sharp, the mysterious 5.4-km-high mountain that rises from Gale’s centre.
Mars solar conjunctions occur every 26 months, so veterans of NASA’s Mars missions are used to dealing with them, the report said.

Black Hole Birth Can Be Observed For First Time, Study Says

A computer-generated image of the light distortions created by a black hole
Astronomers are scanning the heavens for flashes of light that may signal the formation of a black hole, empowered by a new theory that indicates a dying star will generate a distinct flash of light that will allow man to witness the birth of a new black hole for the first time. (Photo : Credit: Alain Riazuelo, IAP/UPMC/CNRS)
Astronomers are scanning the heavens for flashes of light that may signal the formation of a black hole, empowered by a new theory that indicates a dying star will generate a distinct flash of light that will allow man to witness the birth of a new black hole for the first time.
While in rare cases some dying stars that result in black holes explode as highly recognizable gamma-ray bursts, the old line of thinking goes that most black holes form uncharismatically when a star dies, with more of a disappearance, rather than a burst of energy.

But California Institute of Technology postdoctoral scholar Tony Piro thinks that the old notion that a dying star produces a black hole without much spectacle might not hold true.
"Maybe they're not as boring as we thought," Piro said in a Caltech news release.
The accepted theory of black hole formation is that when a star dies it collapses under its own weight. As it collapses, the protons and electrons that make up the star's core merge and produce neutrons. In its final stage of death, the star briefly becomes an extremely dense, energy-packed object called a neutron star before collapsing into a black hole. The energy produced is immense.
In the 1980s a physicist suggested that as energy flows out from the core of the dying star a layer of hydrogen gas would be forced out, generating a shock wave that would rush from the star at 2 million miles per hour.
Researchers recently determined that the shock wave heats the gasses present as the star is dying, generating a glow from the heat. The glowing gas would be a promising sign that a black hole is forming. But the glow has not been observed because it is thought to be relatively dim compared to the light of other stars, hard to see, even in galaxies relatively close to Earth.
But Piro's new calculations indicate that the flash produced from heated gas formed as a star is dying is 10 to 100 times brighter than the previous predictions. The flash, which would shine for as long as 10 days before fading, would be very bright in optical wavelengths-and at its very brightest in ultraviolet wavelengths.
"That flash is going to be very bright, and it gives us the best chance for actually observing that this event occurred," Piro said.
Piro reports that no black-hole flashes have been observed yet. But he said that now that astronomers know what to look for, they should be able to spot at least one black hole formation per year.